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We decided to make a few tables and charts of the most common blackjack probability odds for various scenarios and situations found while playing blackjack.
The most important odds percentage represents the dealer's edge in the game. This is the long term advantage that they have which will eventually take your money away.
Blackjack is actually one of the most popular games in the casino and also has some of the lowest odds of all the casino games, except casino craps of course.
There is one feature that makes blackjack more desirable than any other casino game. There is actually a way to beat the house edge by increasing your odds.
In fact, your probability odds in blackjack can be increase to the point where you would actually be making the profit in the long term, essentially turning the casino into a personal ATM.
This practice is known as card counting and casinos don't like this because they know they will be losing money. Before you start card counting, you should learn "blackjack basic strategy", which is the mathematically correct way to play every move in blackjack to get the best odds.
This can lower the house edge to less than 1 percent. This is when you complement basic strategy with card counting to get the highest efficiencies.
The first odds chart shows what kind of advantage the player has vs. The first column in the chart is what card the dealer has showing after the cards have been dealt.
The second column of the table shows the dealer's probability of going bust based on each card. The last column shows the advantage the player has and the probability of winning based on the basic strategy theory.
Notice that the player advantage goes negative when the 10 cards and ace start showing up. This means the player is more likely to lose.
This chart shows the probabilities of going bust after taking a hit. Busting means that your card total would go over 21 points and would be a hard total as well.
The highest score you can get when being initially dealt two cards is 21 points so you can never go bust. Also, if you have 11 points or less, it is impossible to go over 21 points on the next hit and your odds of going bust would be 0 percent.
The number of 52 card decks in a game of blackjack influences the house edge. In some cases, the odds increase in favor of the casino when more decks are used.
As you can see here, a single deck of card gives the lowest edge for the casino and gives the player better odds. Multiple decks such as eight decks increases the house edge almost 18 times more than it would for the single deck!
The next odds table deals with the first two cards being dealt or the 2 card frequency odds. Every player is dealt two cards at the beginning of a round of blackjack so this chart tells you the percentage of getting different categories of hands.
A natural blackjack is only 4. It's a small percentage but it's the most desirable hand to get. The lowest hand you can get is two points two aces.
This is part of the decision hands group where players are usually dealt soft hands and can make decisions without going bust. The exception would be if you played perfectly and also learned how to count cards as you actually could get a slight advantage.
The reason that the house always has an edge on us players in blackjack is the simple fact that we have to act first at the table.
This is done by using the advantages that we players have at the table in a mathematically correct way. The key to becoming a successful blackjack player involves understanding the odds of winning, as well as considering the probabilities of blackjack.
The key to becoming a successful blackjack player lies a lot in the understanding of odds and probabilities. As you can see in the table above, the probability to bust becomes higher the higher the hand value you got.
The importance of this becomes very clear when we also take a look at what the probability is for the dealer to bust depending on the first card shown.
Please note that the probability for this varies depending on what the rules state; if the dealer has to stand or hit on soft 17 17s.
See the table below:. This is because 12 is a very low value and the fact that more than two-thirds of the cards in the deck s would improve the value of it.
Even though you got a weak hand, the dealer could also have a weak one i. If the odds of winning the hand are on your side doubling down is a great decision to make.
The feature is however not always available for all hands, but the rules can vary from one table to another. Nevertheless, this is the question you should ask yourself and if the answer to it is no, you should then ask the following:.